Step by Step Instruction To Secure Bet365 In Play Offer Guaranteed Profit

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit
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Please Don’t Tell Me You Don’t Know Bet365 In Play Offer Guaranteed Profit. It’s One of the Most Lucrative Promotions in the Industry.


Firstly, Avoid Prejudice of Betting = Gambling. We Do Betting but Don’t Count On Chance. Instead, we do 6 Advantage Playsadvantage play, full list based on mathematical edge to beat the bookies, casino & bingo. When it comes to Sports Betting, we use Matched Bettingsports matched betting, full guide / Sports Arbitrage / Value Bets On Proven Tipsters to lock-in profit or consistently earn extra income for long-term. With that said, one of our policies is “Betting On Luck Is For Losers, Stop Gamble Betting But Bet on Only +EV (Expected Value) To Win Reliably“. And it is effectively our way to promote Responsible Gambling, and we strongly support GamCaregamcare logo being explained in about us.

We share the method of Latest Bet365 In Play Offer Guaranteed Profit in this document. We include the specific instruction of previous Bet365 In Play Offer that demonstrates an excellent way to use Dutching Betting as a good case study.

Bet365 In-Play Guaranteed Bet – Latest Offer

Bet365 Changed the In-Play Offer condition, which makes matched bettors even easier to lock in profit.

bet365 in play offer, image

Bet365 In Play Offer – How It Works

Bet365 says it’s an invitation only offer, but unless your account is gubbed (means restricted from promotions), you are supposed to receive the offer by e-mail like below;

bet365 in play offer, email
Click To Enlarge

It is the Bet365 In Play Offer Chelsea vs Barcelona Champions League match on 20 Feb 2018. If you haven’t, log-in your Bet365 account then pop-up window indicating the offer should appear or see the Message section.

Bet365 Free In Play Offer T&C

Firstly, the Free bet amount varies among individual players, looks ranging between £15 and the maximum £50. I used to receive £50 free bet, but it has decreased to £25, probably because I have taken too much value recently. Anyhow, it still produces a tasty profit.

Let me excerpts a few key requirements from the above e-mail;

How it works:

– Place a pre-match single bet on the Chelsea v Barcelona game.

– You will receive a Free In-Play Bet to the value of your largest pre-match bet (max Free In-Play Bet value £25) to use as the stake on any Chelsea v Barcelona In-Play market.

– Your Free In-Play Bet will only become available once the game starts.

– To use your Free In-Play Bet, simply add an In-Play selection to the bet slip once the game starts, and select the ‘Use Free Bet’ option next to that selection.

Returns exclude Free In-Play Bet stake.

Only customers who receive the promotional email and/or web message are eligible for this offer.

Bet365 Free In Play Bet T&C

See, very simple. Let’s go Step-By-Step.

Matched Betting – Quick Summary

Just before going into the specific process, let me quickly recap how we use Matched Betting technique to lock-in profit from the offer. If you are already familiar with it, just skip and go directly to the next section.

Just in case you’re completely new to this concept, Matched Betting For Dummies – 9 Essential Things You Should Know Before Staking Any Real MoneyMatched Betting For Dummies - 9 Essential Things You Should Know Before Staking Any Real Money will be of your help. But just briefly, matched betting works as follows;

  • 2 transactions of Back (bet on win) £25 at Bet365 & Lay (bet on NOT win) appropriate stake £XX (use Free Calculator) at Betting Exchange like Betfair, SMarkets or Matchbook so that you cover all outcomes.
  • Regardless of the outcome, your losing & winning will cancel out each other. In the real practice, usually, 2 bets are not perfectly offset due to the odds difference & exchange commission. Therefore you make a small loss called Qualifying Loss. However, you get £25 In-Play Free Bets.
  • Now, you repeat the exact same process in Live Match but use the free bet for the back bet at Bet365. Then, this time the free bet value (minus little loss) will become your net profit.
  • For the specific guide on how to do it, please go to Free Matched Bet Starting Guide Risk Free Betting Starting Guide (3) – How To Extract Cash Profit from Free Bet(2) – How To Sign-Up & Place Qualifying Bet & (3) Extract Profit, where I use William Hill sign-up offer as the example for step-by-step instruction.
  • Remember, key success factor is how to minimize the qualifying loss during these processes.

 

Betting Exchange

As you see in the above process, betting exchange is essential for matched betting. Therefore, it’s critical to adopt the right approach toward the betting exchanges from the beginning, which will affect your long-term profit. Suggest you take a look at Bet Exchange – Ultimate Guide To Use Betfair & Competitions Most Profitablybet exchange, sign up strategies feature image, where you find the Smart Tactics on How To Use Which Bet Exchange in Which Occasion with spoon-fed like instructions.

We recommend SMarkets as a Core Betting Exchange for matched betting. Not Betfair, Why? Also show how important Matchbook is. Please go to the above document that explains the full rationale & comprehensive strategies to make the best use of all 4 key betting exchanges.

Anyhow, for those who have not opened SMarkets or not even a single bet exchange account, I prepared a step-by-step guide for your quick start. You can effortlessly extract cash from its sign-up bonus of £10 Risk-Free Bet. Actually, this is one of the easiest offers to lock-in profit in the industry. Please click “+” mark to open the instruction;

SMarkets Sign-Up Process with Screenshots

Please follow the below process, which takes less than 10 minutes to complete;

Update & Confirm T&C (Terms & Conditions)

  • Firstly, Go To SMarkets Front Page confirming the availability of £10 Risk Free Sign-Up Promotion

Bet Exchange SMarkets Offer Check

  • Read welcome bonus T&C. I know it’s a boring stuff but never try to save time by skipping it to avoid any unpleasant future surprise;
Bet Exchange SMarkets Bonus T&C
Click To Enlarge

Simple Sign-Up By Filling Information

  • After confirming the availability of the offer & reading the T&C,  click “Start Trading”

Bet Exchange SMarkets Signup Front Page

  • Fill-in the required information related to Account, Personal Information & Deposit;

Bet Exchange SMarkets Signup Account Page

A Few Key Points

  • For the deposit method, suggest use Visa Debit card if possible. Because depositing by Mastercard or credit card incur a 2.5% deposit fee, bank transfer takes a few days. Importantly, Skrill & Neteller deposits are not eligible for the £10 bonus.
  • Account Verification. You will receive the below e-mail to verify account. Suggest you do it as quickly as possible to prevent any future transaction delay;
    Bet Exchange SMarkets ID Verification
    Click To Enlarge
  • That’s it. You’re now ready to place lay bets to construct matched betting once you sign-up the bookmakers.
  • If you are not familiar with how to start matched betting, see how to place qualifying bet.

How To Extract Cash From The Offer?

As said, SMarkets signup offer is probably the easiest one. Because you don’t have to do anything. SMarkets will refund your first £10 loss. Yes, even you win thousands of £ before you lose £10, SMarkets will refund that first £10 loss. So, just keep doing the matched betting, and whenever you lose £10 for the first time in SMarkets, you will be refunded, and as you’re aware it’s your profit.

Some Good News

  • Very simple, isn’t it? SMarkets & all other bet exchanges I list in the betting exchange guide are fully licensed & regulated by UK gambling commission. And they all register in IBAS – Independent Betting Adjudication Service, thus you can let IBAS resolve when you face any problem with them.
  • Remember, any income from the matched betting are Tax Free in the UK / Ireland as long as it is not considered as your main source of income.

£2,500 Risk-Free Opportunities

BTW, Matched Betting is all about making the best use of bookmakers’ promotion, thus you need to open up bookies account as many as possible.  All online bookies are in fierce competitive situation thus advertise tasty offers to attract your sign-up. However, Don’t sign-up directly, Click + To See Little Known Smart Method;

How To Earn £2,500 Risk-Free Cashback

Many punters overlook huge Cashback Opportunities and open up bookmaker, casino & bingo account directly. Stop doing it, you can earn a lot of risk-free cash while receiving the gambling sites’ own sign-up offers & bonuses. We have separately prepared  Betting Cashback Websites – The Ultimate Guide To Be Always Better Offbetting cashback, feature image, where you will find how to collect £2,500 cashback all together. So, from now on, Never Ever Sign-Up Any Gambling Accounts Directly Before Checking the Availability of Cashback Offer stated in the above document.

 

Bet365 In Play Offer – Extract Profit Process

Place A Pre-Match Qualifying Bet

Firstly, we have to place a single pre-match bet as a qualifying bet. The maximum free bet amount you will get is the equivalent amount you make a Pre-Match Single Bet, so, you need to bet your qualified highest free bet amount (in my case £25).

Since there is no odds or market restriction, you can chose whatever the market you like or the market with the narrowest gap between Bet365 back odds & Betting Exchange Lay Odds to minimize qualifying loss.

Locating The Best Market

Usually match bet (1 x 2), BTTS (Both Team To Score) or Over / Under 2.5 Goals are the markets that meet your demand, means the narrow odds between bookmaker & exchange.

However, I focus on Match Bet and don’t bet X (Draw) but either 1 (Home) or 2 (Away) because of the Bet365 Other offer which I will explain later.

I quickly check the odds of Bet365 Match Bet market in comparison with the other bookies in Oddschecker

bet365 in play offer, oddschecker
Click To Enlarge

Bet365 offers Outstanding Chelsea odds.

Lay Odds Check in Betting Exchange

I used Matchbook because I get 0% Commission thanks to Oddsmonkey offer.oddsmonkey matchbook commission free extend to march You may want to consider subscribing matched betting premium service like Oddsmonkey (see OM Full review) or Profit Accumulator (see PA full review), which gives you cooperation with betting exchanges such as commission deduction or entirely free periodically.

Anyhow, the below is lay odds at Matchbook;

bet365 in play offer, matchbook odds
Click To Enlarge

While I was taking the above screenshot, the Chelsea lay odds drifted to 3.88. Oops, anyhow, I used Free Matched Betting Calculator to see the predicted qualifying loss by comparing the case selecting Chelsea & Barcelona;

Betting on Chelsea generates average £0.835 loss;

bet365 in play offer, chelsea calculation
Click To Enlarge

Betting on Barcelona generates average £0.79 loss;

bet365 in play offer, barcelona calculation
Click To Enlarge

Combining Other Offers

Although, betting on Barcelona will result in smaller odds, the difference is just a marginal £0.045. Thus, I decided to bet on Chelsea because I can combine Bet365 Early Payment Offer – please take a look at Paddy Power 2 Up & Bet365 Early Payout Offer – How To Make Massive Profitpaddy power 2 up, feature image

You can enjoy the benefit of this offer by betting on Barcelona as well, but given the longer odds of Chelsea, if hit the early payment, we can receive better profit when we bet on Chelsea, that’s the reason.

Successful Example

In fact, I received the double payments in the last Bet365 In Play Offer. That was the Champions League Juventus vs Tottenham match on 13 Feb 2018. I bet £25 on Juventus which went ahead by 2 goals, but finally Tottenham caught up & ended draw. It means, I got winning of £26.25 in Bet365;

paddy power 2up, bet365 juventus payout
Click To Enlarge

And also £24.29 in the betting exchange (Matchbook) I placed lay bet on Juventus as;

paddy power 2 up, matchbook result
Click To Enlarge

Coupled with around £20 profit I extracted from the Bet365 In Play Free Bet from the above match, I generated around £70 pure profit, not bad for less than 15 minutes work in total.

Placed Both Back & Lay Bet

I completed the back bet at Bet365 as;

bet365 in play offer, back bet place
Click To Enlarge

The betslip automatically shows your entitlement of £25 In Play Free Bet.

The lay bet at Matchbook as;

bet365 in play offer, lay bet place
Click To Enlarge

Place In Play Bet By Using Free Bet

Once the game goes into Live, you need to place £25 In Play Free Bet.

Key Tips for In Play Bet

Generally speaking, doing matched betting in Live Match (in-play) is more difficult than pre-match bet due to the quick fluctuation of in-play odds. For how to do it smartly, please take a look at Live Betting Tennis – The Best Tips For Seasoned PuntersLive Betting Tennis - Essential Tips To Improve Profit For Advanced Matched Bettors

Although it uses Tennis case, general principle absolutely applies to Football In Play matched betting as well.

A few key points are;

  • Bet immediately after the kick-off before the odds starts changing quickly. At the outset, the odds is relatively stable because scoring within a few minutes is statistically very low. But make sure, you place the back bet after confirming the kick-off whistle – see the live game streamline available in Bet365, otherwise, your own cash will be used rather than the free bet. Besides, remember Bet365 drastically reduced all the odds soon after the game starts. If it happens before you place the bet, wait for a while until the odds get better. Yes, usually the odds recovers a bit since the initial odds deduction is extremely big. Then you can avoid taking such poor odds.
  • Bet during half time. It’s the time you can expect the calmest odds movement period.
  • Avoid the market which may immediately put you in danger for losing everything. For example, if you place correct score, try to avoid 0-0 or 0-1 involving the Nil score. After you place back bet on such bet and if any score occurs unfavorably before you complete lay bet, you will not be able to place lay bet any more and you will lose your back bet 100% instantly.

Locate Market For Free Bet

As explained in the guide of (3) How To Extract Profit From Free Bet, we need to select the long-odds market to extract profit from the free bet efficiently. Usually, Correct Score market or HT/FT provide you the best opportunities. I mean the odds with the tightest gap between bookmaker & betting exchange in relatively long odds. So, suggest you make a bit of home work to check which markets could be your target, say 10 minutes before the game starts.

At the time I’m writing this article, the lay odds are very poor but looks Chelsea win by 2-1 is the narrowest gap of 13:15.5 as follows;

Bet365 Correct Score

bet365 in play offer, correct score odds
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Betfair Correct Score Lay Odds (the correct score market is sometimes not available or lack of liquidity, means very poor in Matchbook) shows;

bet365 in play offer, free bet lay betfair
Click To Enlarge

Assuming we take this bet by laying at Betfair – I’m currently enjoying 2% Betfair Commission – keep checking your e-mail or account. Betfair also provide such offer periodically, so make the best use of it; bet365 in play offer, betfair two percent commission, the predicted profit will be £18.99 as below;

bet365 in play offer, free bet calculation
Click To Enlarge

Hope the lay bet will be improved in Live Match.

Wrap Up

The things that affect your profit is In-Play matched betting. How tight odds you can find will determine your final profit. Odds moves in flush,but Never Ever Become Panic even you make mistake. There are ways to correct your mistake and minimize loss. I have summarized many in-play additional tips including such correction methods in the below Case Study of The Previous Bet365 In Play Offer. So suggest you just go through it as well.

Final Results

As you are aware, the game ended up with draw as below; bet365 in play offer, champions league resultsI myself couldn’t place in-play bet until shortly after the 2nd half start due to other priorities. Therefore, I missed the best in-play timing such as the very beginning & half time. As a result, I could extract just 72% of the free bet which is £18. Deducting the qualifying loss of £0.84, the net profit was £17.16. Well, not bad for all together less than 15 minutes work. We never count on hitting the early payment and if we could hit it would be a windfall. The important thing is proper planning & execution. As long as we keep taking up the Positive EV (Expected Value) opportunities like this and follow the right process, we never lose money but will be profitable for long-term.

 

Previous Bet365 In Play Offer Case Study

We shared a step-by-step instruction on the previous Bet365 In Play Offer, which gives you the excellent case study on how to make the best use of Dutching Betting. Since it can apply to many In Play Free Bet Offers especially for Big Football Events, we keep the full guide as the good Dutching Case Study.

Please click the below + Bet365 In Play Offer – Good Dutching Betting Case Study to open the full information;

Previous Bet365 In Play Offer - Good Dutching Betting Case Study

This is a Follow-Up Post to share my Actual Results of the Lock-In Profit Method Application to Bet365 In-Play Offer for Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Champions League Match on 15 Feb ’15. For those who already read my original post on 14 Feb ’16, please directly go to the Result Section by clicking the below “+Skip” button. If it’s the 1st time to see this article, then suggest read everything which explains the 2 separate methods to extract money from Bet365 In-play Offer Guaranteed Profit.

+ Skip

What Is Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit?l

Bet365 offers periodically Football In-Play Bet, which is one of the Best Available Football promotions. They never call it Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit, but since we can lock-in profit, we call so. The offer is “Place a pre-match bet on xxx vs xxx and Bet365 will give you a risk-free in play bet to the same stake (up to a maximum of £50.00)”

You will most likely to extract £35+ cash from the offer every time. I will show you how by using the example of: Bayern Munich vs Arsenal on 15 February 2017 of which detail is described in Bet365 In-Play Offer T&C;Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit T&C

2 Methods

Let’s clarify what the offer requires;

  • Firstly we need to place £50 Pre-match bet.
  • Then, we have to place another £50 In-play bet (our own money) which is a Risk Free bet. It means if you lose you get refund. Note that Bet365 will refund you not in free bet but in cash. So you can immediately withdraw, which gives you added value. Since most of the bookies refund in free bet of which value is approximately 80% compared with cash.

We can construct 2 different methods to tackle this offer, which are standard Matched Betting and Dutching. I will show you the both process though, since matched betting is pretty straight forward I’ll elaborate more on Dutching method.

As said, 1st we have to place £50 PRE-MATCH then 2nd another £50 IN-PLAY. So we have to decide which market we should bet for the 1st & 2nd respectively. Therefore, let me start up with Pre-Match Bet, and move into In-Play Bet where I add Dutching method on top of the standard matched approach method. There is an optional tactic to start Dutching from Pre-Match Bet, see “Dutching Alternative Application” in Wrap Up with A Few Tips Section.

Pre-Match Bet

Let’s examine which market is the best. For this qualifying bet, the basic tactics is chose Shorter & Tighter (between Bet365 & Exchange) odds to minimize the qualifying loss. When I quickly check the odds, Bayern Munich Win is the shortest & closest odds between 1.50 at Bet365 & 1.55 at SMarket (Exchange) as follows;

Bet365 odds;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Odds
Click To Enlarge

SMarket Lay Odds;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Lay Odds
Click To Enlarge

, so we use Tricky Bet free matched betting calculator to get Lay Stake & Qualifying loss. The calculation shows;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Calculator
Click The Image To Enlarge

So, we confirm we will lose £1.96 loss regardless of the outcome in the qualifying bet stage.

Now, let’s move to the 2nd Bet where we have separate approach of Standard Matched Betting & Dutching.

Standard Matched Betting

Let’s quickly examine how much we can expect from Standard Matched Betting Approach.

As seen, we produce £1.96 loss irrespective of the outcome. Then, we also do matched betting on the In-Play £50 bet. The half time is the period the odds become stable, so we usually suggest do at the half time.

Since this is the Risk Free Bet, we calculate based on SNR (Stake Not Returned). In case you’re not familiar with how to extract Risk Free Bet, see Risk Free Bet (Refund to Lose Bet) Lock In Profit Instruction Special Report by GEM

Risk Free Bet Lose Bet Refund

It’s impossible to predict the in play odds, I use the fictional odds just for the sake of explanation of how you process this matched betting. Given the Risk Free Tactics, Long & Tight Odds Selection (same as Free Bet approach) is required. The appropriate market you can find good choice for this requirements is Correct Score. Assuming we find 10.0 of back odds &  12.5 of lay odds, the predicted profit will be;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Final Profit Calculator
Click the Image to Enlarge.

So, we will get average £39.28 no matter the final match results would be.

In summary, £1.96 loss at qualifying pre-match bet and £39.28 profit at in-play risk free bet will give us £37.32 profit.

 

Dutching

Just in case, you are not familiar with dutching, go  How To Bet Dutching That Will Create Awesome Extra Income Special Report by GEM;How To Make Dutching Bet

Regarding Dutching, simply put, we don’t lay in exchange but cover all the 3 outcomes (1 x 2) by backing in different bookmakers. Then, how should we? Firstly we chose the outcome (1 Bayern wins or x Draw or 2 Arsenal wins) we back in-play in Bet365. You can chose whichever you want.

Looking at Oddschecker, Draw odds offered by Bet365 is relatively high side, although there is no guarantee it will be the same condition during In-Play, let’s assume we take Draw.

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Odds Checker
Click  To Enlarge

We have to determine the bookmaker for the other 2 bets.

Looking at the above oddschecker, the highest bids are

  • For Bayern, 1.53 of Betway
  • For Arsenal, Betfair Sports provides the best odds of 7.5.

So, at this stage, it’s important to check if these odds are still available.

Bet365, Yes it is;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Updated Odds
Click To Enlarge

Betway, Yes it is;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Betway Odds
Click To Enlarge

Betfair, Yes it is;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Betfair Odds
Click To Enlarge
Work Out Each Stake

So, let’s work out how much stake we need  to back Bayern & Arsenal respectively. Firstly, we need to see how much return we receive from the draw bet at Bet365, then see how much do we need from Bayern Win & Arsenal Win by taking the refund & pre-match bet at Bet365 into account.

  • Bet365 In-play Bet Draw Return = £50 x 4.6 = £230
  • We should bet on Bayern Win to get the same return amount of the above £230, then how much do we need? £230 – £50 = £180  (refund we receive if our draw bet loses)
  • We bet on Arsenal Win to to get the same return amount of the above £230, then how much do we need? £230 – £50 = £180 (refund we receive if our draw bet loses)

Simply divide £180 by 1.53 odds for Bayern, which is £117.64, and divide £180 by 7.5, which is £24. By the way, I strongly suggest you don’t bet such amount of £117.64. It confesses to the bookies that you are doing some sort of arbing, means you are increasing the chance of being gubbed. Therefore, make them nice round numbers into £120 & if possible £25. So, our total stakes will be £50 (Bet365) + £120 (Betway) + £25 (Betfair Sports) = £195

Validate

Let’s see how much we can make for each outcome;

  • Bayern Wins: £183.6 win (Betway) + £50 (Bet365 Refund) – £195 (outlay) – £1.96 (1st Bet Qualifying Loss) = £36.64
  • Draw: £230 – £195 (outlay) – £1.96 (1st Bet Qualifying Loss) = £33.04
  • Arsenal Wins: £187.5 (Betfair Sports) + £50 (Bet365 Refund) – £195 (outlay) – £1.96 (1st Bet Qualifying Loss) = £40.54

 

 Wrap Up

How about it? You will get £33.04 – £40.54 profit (the reason Arsenal win’s case achieves the biggest profit is round up the stake amount from £24 to £25 in Betfair Sports).

In both case, the risk is fluctuating in-play odds.

A Few Tips;

Dutching Alternative Application

Firstly, I used matched betting for the Pre-Match £50 bet even for Dutching Method just for the sake of explanation by separating the Pre-Match bet & In-Play bet part. However, obviously you can use Bet365 £50 Pre-Match stake as a part of Dutching.

We can recalculate the required stake in the same way. For Bayern, £230 – £50 (Refund) – £75 (Bet365 £50 x 1.5 odds) = £105 This is the additional return required from Betway. Therefore, £105 / 1.53 = £68.62 rounding up to £70. All the other parts are exactly the same. So, our total stakes will be £50 (Bet365 Pre-Match)+ £50 (Bet365 In-Play) + £70 (Betway) + £25 (Betfair Sports) = £195 Then, the predicted profit would have been;

  • Bayern Wins: £75 (Bet365: £50 x 1.5) + 107.1 win (Betway: £70 x 1.53) + £50 (Bet365 Refund) – £195 (outlay) = £37.1
  • Draw: £230 – £195 (outlay) = £35
  • Arsenal Wins: £187.5 (Betfair Sports) + £50 (Bet365 Refund) – £195 (outlay) = £42.5

It improved the profitability by saving the qualifying loss. However, it actually depends on the odds, the timing you place bet & other bookies’ promotion offers. In fact, Barcelona vs Man City match in Oct ’16 Bet365 In-Play Offer gave us a different scenario. The profitability was decreased in the case of Barcelona Win that is the largest probability of occurrence. So, it’s important to decide how you want to approach by collecting available data especially odds & promotional offers before placing any bet. In case you find any arbing condition for Pre-Match bet, you may want to use matched betting to secure profit for it. If Bet365’s odds for pre-match bet is better than most of the other bookmakers, you may want to make it a part of dutching.

Matched Betting or Dutching?
  • It’s entirely up to your preference.
  • One of the advantages of Dutching is that the total outlay will be usually smaller. For matched betting, when the refund takes the risk free form, you need to find higher odds in-play, which usually requires large exchange liability and possibly bigger loss comes from the bigger odds difference between bookmaker & exchange.
  • The in-play odds quickly moves so the best timing is immediate after the game starts and before bookies reduce all odds (it depends on bookmaker though, generally they drop all 1 x 2 odds slightly within a few minutes after the kick-off) or half time.
  •  When you’re forced to take not favorable odds (means lower odds in case of Dutching) during in-play, don’t be panic. You always have solution which may reduce the profit bit though. The only & simple solution is making additional back bet on the outcome you faced lower odds by comparing the additional winnings & outlay.

I will post the final result after the game. Again, don’t miss Bet365 In-Play Guaranteed Profit, very juicy opportunity.

 

Actual Resultsl

As promised, I summarize exactly what I have done & Got as follows;

1st Qualifying Bet

While I was writing my original post(14th Feb’17), the lay odds decreased to 1.52, therefore, I placed £50 on Bayern Win at 1.5 odds in Bet365 and Layed Off at 1.52 rather than 1.55 in SMarkets, thus I lost £0.99 rather than £1.69 (the below image is SMarket account history, I profited £25 in Bet365 while lost £25.99 in SMarkets, the diffeence is £0.99 loss) ;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Qualifying Bet Lay Actual
As shown SMarket account history, Click To Enlarge

2nd In-Play Bet

I finally chose Dutching Method because as I demonstrated in my previous example of Barcelona vs Man City last October, I can combine a few other bookies’ offers. A big game like this Champions League usually collects at least a few to several bookies’ promotions.

Some of them are;

William Hill
4 Means More 25% Winning BoostBet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit William Hill Offer

Paddy Power
2 UP You WinBet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit & Paddy Power Offer

Netbet
Champions League Refund (Up to £10 Losing Bet)Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Netbet Offer

Boylesports
Crossbar Double Winnings

Betfair Sports
Goal Scorer Double Odds

I decided to use William Hill, Paddy Power & Netbet, because both Boylesports & Betfair Sports gubbed my account. (PlS. additional view Special Report by GEM

These bets require Pre-Match Bet, therefore I had to place them before placing Bet365 In-play bet to construct Dutching.

Although I placed some bets a bit earlier, I tried to place those bets as close to the game to avoid big deviation from the Bet365 odds I can take In-Play. Having said, the below shows the oddschecker table just before the game starts;

Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Oddschecker In-paly Odds
oddschecker table just before the game starts, Click To Enlarge

When it comes to In-Play Bet, the key issue is the timing of bet placement because it keeps fluctuating. As explained, there are 2 best timings, which are immediately after starting a game and half time.

Since I already decided to bet on Draw for Bet365 In-Play Bet, I tried to do it quickly after the game starts (usually the odds decreases when game starts) and before it drastically moves due to any goal.

In short, what I did were;

Draw

  • Bet365, I placed £50 In-play Bet at 5.00 odds 1 minutes after the game started (I tried to bet at 5.25 starting odds though the bet slip was frozen until it changed to 5.00), which would give me £250 return if it finished as draw.
  • Consequently, both Bayern Win & Arsenal Win needs £200 (£250 – £50 refund) return to construct Dutching.

Bayern Win

  • William Hill, I placed £100 Pre-Match Bet at 1.4 odds, which would give me £140 return (& £10 of 25% Win Boost)
  • Paddy Power, I placed £30 Pre-Match Bet at 1.4 odds, which would give me £42 return (& 2 Up win)
  • So, I was about to place additional In-Play bet to cover £18 shortage calculated by £200 – (£140 + £42) in Marathon Bet, but Bayern made very quick goal. This score shortened Bayern’s odds drastically thus I decided to see how it goes rather than taking the lower odds that results in increasing my total outlay.
  • Finally, I missed the opportunity to place the additional bets after Arsenal evened especially during the half time. This is because such Bayern’e early goal convinced me of its sure win coupled with the final profit projection stated below. Therefore, I was engaged in the commitment with my family, means I didn’t check the game until it finishes.

Arsenal Win

  • Netbet, I placed £10 Pre-Match Bet at 7.5 odds, which would give me £75 return (& £10 refund if lose)
  • Betway, I placed £10 Pre-Match Bet at 8.5 odds, which would give me £85 return
  • Thanks to the Bayern’s early goal, Arsenal’s odds increased rapidly, thus I just placed £1 In-Play Bet at 26.00 odds in Genting Bet (this is just because I had £1 left in the account). Actually, I didn’t do any further as I left the TV

The predicted Profit at the time I left the game was;

  • Bayern Wins: £182 win (WH & PP) + £70 (Bet365 & Netbet Refund + WH Boost) – £201 (outlay) – £0.99 (1st Bet Qualifying Loss) = £50.01
  • Result Draw: £250 –  £201 (outlay) – £0.99 (1st Bet Qualifying Loss) + £10 (Netbet Refund) = £58.01
  • Arsenal Wins: £186 (Netbet & Betway & Gentings) + £50 (Bet365 Refund) – £201 (outlay) – £0.99 (1st Bet Qualifying Loss) = £34.01
Match Result

As you know, Arsenal was miserably battered by Bayern with 5 – 1 Score;Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Match Result

So, let’s confirm my final results as below;

  • Bet365:  1st Bet lost £0.99 in the matched betting as explained at the beginning. In-play Bet Draw lost £50 but received £50 Cash Refund, therefore the aggregate is £0.99 loss.
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Proof 3
    my final results, Click To Enlarge
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Refund Letter
    In-play Bet but received £50 Cash Refund, Click To Enlarge
  • William Hill: Got £40 Profit and £10 of 25% Winning Boost, so the total is £50 Profit;
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit William Hill Refund Proof
    Click To Enlarge

    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Proof

  • Paddy Power: Got £12 Profit and 2 Up promotion has no affect on the profit, therefore the total is £12 Profit;
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Paddy Power Result
    Got £12 Profit, Click To Enlarge
  • Netbet: Lost £10 but Received £10 Refund, thus the aggregate is 0;
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Netbet result
    Lost but, Click To Enlarge
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Netbet Refund Proof
    but received £10, Click To Enlarge
  • Betway: Lost £10;
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Betway Result
    Click To Enlarge
  • Genting Bet; Lost £1;
    Bet365 In-Play Offer Guaranteed Profit Gentings Result
    Click To Enlarge

Total Profit = The Profit of (£40 + £12) – The Loss of (£0.99 + £50 + £10 + £10 + £1) +  The Refund (£50 + £10 + £10) = £50.01

 Wrap Up

If I had taken Standard Matched Betting Approach, how could I have ended up? Well, difficult to estimate especially I failed to keep tracking the odds change but if my memory is correct, the decreased odds of Arsenal Win in Bet365 in the same timing when I placed draw bet was 8.00 while SMarkets lay odds was around 9.00 (probably I’m wrong), so it could have been £38.18 profit. Then the final profit would be £38.18 – £0.99 (1st qualifying loss) = £37.19 which is also pretty good.

However, I myself still prefer to take Dutching method considering the huge risk of fluctuating In-Play odds. Standard Matched betting largely depends on this In-Play Risk.

Anyway, as briefly said, I left the game with the satisfying profit projection based on the confidence that Bayern would win, but actually Arsenal scored soon after I left. Means I missed the opportunity to make further bet to make all the profit more equally (profit of Arsenal Win was too small compared with the other 2 outcomes). Yes, the result was OK, but some of you may prefer equal guaranteed profit.

A Few Further Tips;

The below are some tips for you;

  • This Dutching technique can be used in the same way as in other occasions, especially when you combine multiple bookies’ offers, therefore it’s good idea to keep this option at any time.
  • As said, it’s recommendable to complete your ideal Dutching setting rather than leave it half way through, especially no reasons to miss such big match with a lot of fun & entertainment except for the Arsenal fans.
  • Lastly, you may review my Tips in the original post, especially the point of – When you’re forced to take not favorable odds (means lower odds in case of Dutching) during in-play, don’t be panic. You always have solution which may reduce the profit bit though. The only & simple solution is making additional back bet on the outcome you faced lower odds by comparing the additional winnings & outlay.
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You may also want to check the Bet365 Relevant guides;

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Joshua Walker