Value Bet By Proven Best Tipsters Guide
Reach The Next Level Of Your Matched Betting / Arbing by Value Bet On Proven Tipsters
Value Bet General Guidance
Firstly, let’s start up with overall picture of Value Bet By Proven Best Tipsters;
- Value Bet – Sports Betting is all about probability. The Sharp (Punters) focus on finding value, that is namely placing a value bet. Value bet is a bet of which odds reflects a higher probability than the real probability of particular event occurrence. We can gauge it in EV (Expected Value) as the below formula. As long as you keep placing the bet with Positive EV, you will surely make solid earnings in Medium to Long Term.
- Bookie’s Profit (Margin) – Bookmakers employ specialists in statistics & mathematics as well as sports analysts to set odds with Over-round that is their built-in margin to ensure positive EV. Thus ordinary punter can’t beat bookmakers.
- Opportunity – Unlike Casino or Bingo, the probability is not fixed. The probability you get “1” in dice rolling is always 1/6th. However, there is no true % Barcelona beat Real Madrid in the next match. Besides, bookies provide thousands of odds in many sports every day and practically it’s impossible for them to set positive EV for every odd. Finally, their constant effort to Balance The Book fluctuates the odds. Therefore, there are many odds with negative EV for bookies but majority of the punters can’t identify them accurately.
Number Speaks Volume
- Best Proven Tipsters – It’s clear that Sports Betting is largely Skill Oriented rather than pure probability like the dice. In other words, a handful of real experts i.e. top tipsters who have expertise & tools (sophisticated unique software with huge data base) constantly find such odds and provide you with impressive solid profit as below table of Secret Betting Club;
Are Those Returns Sustainable & Authentic?
Sports Betting is a Zero-Sum Game. Means unlike Stock Trading where all can be winners (in bull market) or all can be losers (in bear market), there are always equal winners & losers at the same time. Bookmakers are your enemy and many of them are profitable by beating 95% of the punters who are called casual, recreational or mug punters. However, if you keep betting only on the value, you will surely beat the bookies for medium-long term because you are taking over the bookies’ edge. For this particular point, you will find details in Beat The Bookies By Knowing How Your Enemy Makes Money – Secret Of Odds;
The Hardest Part
Like the financial trading, it takes years & huge learning costs to get such edge to beat the bookies. The best & logical way is to find the Experts a.k.a Tipster or Handicapper to help you. However, as you imagine, the hardest part is to locate the best experts. When it comes to the reality of authenticity of the tipsters, unfortunately, 99% of the self-claim proven tipsters manipulated their past performance to inspire you (or simply scam). It’s very important for you to select the tipster of which tips are verified by credible proofing service.
Key Criteria To Select The Best Tipsters / Handicapper
Fake Tipsters Quick Elimination
There are hundreds of Self-Claim Excellent Tipsters or Tipster Ranking Sites that rating based on ROI. However, it’s said that majority of such top tipsters give you disappointing results. Why? A few simple reasons, they cheat the records or manipulate the record, or we don’t know how to correctly read / interpret the records. The bottom-line is that many people fail to identify the true ability of each tipster. We summarized 3 Methods To Eliminate Fake Tipsters & Select Genuine Best, where you will find;
- Betting Tipster Survivorship Bias
- 2 Basic Misleading Elements – Length of Records & Long or Short Odds
- 2 Ways To Check Credibility – Closing Price & Randomness
It will help you quickly eliminate the obvious fakes.
Then, if you would like to make your further DD (Due Diligence, the below explains the basic criteria;
- Company Background & Snapshot
- Programme Service Details
- Tipster Biography
- Strategies & Risk Management
Quantitative Dimension – Past Facts
- Performance Summary (Tipping Records)
- Profit Result (ROI & Bank Growth)
- Negative Checks (Drawdown)
- Proofing Records (Independent Verification)
For your better understanding, let me show you a bit more specific information you need to check in the Quantitative Dimension (you may also send the below questions to the tipster);
Performance Summary & Profit Result (Bank Growth)
Assess ROI and Betting Bank Size Evolution, which can be viewed as the most comprehensive indicator to see how worth the tipping system is.
This should be calculated using how many bets have to be placed and how much money has to be staked in order to achieve the profits and how long such profit growth will take. The basic indicators are:
A: # of Tips – cumulative numbers you signalled
B: Win Rate – % of winning tips vs A) total number of tips
C: Average Odds of picks – sum of the odds produced / A)
– Initial Bankroll (starting Capital): $10,000
– Average stake amount / bet: $200 (2% out of total bankroll)
Then the subscriber’s profit can be calculated as:
D: Winning Stake Amount = A x B x C x $200
E: Loosing Stake Amount = A x (1-B) x $200
F: Your Gross Service Charge = Monthly Service Fee x # of months
G: Net Profit / (Loss) = D – E – F
H: ROI (Return On Investment, means Yield / bet) = F / (A x $200) x 100
I: Betting Bank Closing Balance = $10,000 + 4) after — months
A. Cumulative number of tips produced: 700 tips for 12 months
B. Cumulative Win Rate: 50%
C. Average Odds of 700 picks: 1.91 (or 10/11 or -110)
D. Winning Amount = 700 x 55% x (1.91 – 1) x $200 = $70,070
E. Loosing Stake = 700 x 45% x $200 = $63,000
F. Gross Service Charge = $100 x 12 = $1,200
G. Net Profit = $70,070 – $63,000 – $1200 = $$5,870
H. ROI = $5,870 / ($200 x 700) x 100 = 4.2%
I. Final Bank Balance = $10,000 + $5,870 = $15,870
J. Bank Growth Rate = $15,870 / $10,000 = 58.87%
So, this case demonstrates the service brought about 4.2% ROI (Yield per bet) with the 58.87% growth of your bank
Negative Checks (Drawdown)
Obtain The Information Of:
– Maximum draw down (%) month
– Longest consecutive draw down months
Proofing Records – Independent Verification
Get the information how the tips are proven, I mean the basic methods such as when exactly do the tipster issue the pick before the event? Where & who certificate your pick?
Remember, the last criterion of Proofing Records which is whether the tips are proven by Independent Verification system is critically important. Thus, I name this method as Value Bet By Proven Tipsters.
Tipster Proofing / Rating Service and Successful System
After years of trial & error, we have identified the below 2 sites as the Best Proofing & Rating Tipsters Service and the proven established betting system;
1. SBC – Secret Betting Club (Primary for UK / European Players)
Visit SBC Site
This is probably the most established & reputable tipster Proofing & Ranking service in the industry.
Our Full Review
Their key scope are Horse Racing & Football in the UK / Europe. 80.3% of SBC members made profit while 19.7% incurred loss after all the expenses such as subscription fee. It’s very impressive result considering the fact that well over 90% of punters lose money.
Visit Our Full Review Of Secret Betting Club;This comprehensive review enables you to understand how important the genuine tipster proofing & rating service is & what value it provides. Suggest you read it carefully, of which 10 minutes will be very worth for your betting life.
Some of the other documents that give you flavor of their service are;
Case Study: Why This Tipster Is So Highly Rated Revealed: The Anatomy of a ‘Hall Of Fame’ Tipster
Jason James Quantum Racing – SBC Top Premium Tipster
See Secret Betting Club Offer to check the current available discount offer.
2. ZCode System (Worldwide Especially for US & North American Players)
Visit Z-Code Site
This is 1 of the most successful Unique Betting System supported by Both Human and Computer Generated tips with huge data base accumulated since 1989. It produced excellent returns proven real time in its private forum by thousands of members.
Our Full Review
Their key scope is US 4 Major Sports e.g. MLB / NHL / NFL / NBA. Therefore obviously it’s suitable for US & North American punters. However, any punters in the world can effectively use the service. Because of the huge popularity of those 4 sports and tips / predictions availability in the on-line site 24/7 which can be used in the key global on-line bookmakers that accept players from worldwide.
You may find the below ZCode related reports quite useful to understand more about this unique system;
Go Z Code 75% Permanent Discount Opportunity and click the Offer Link, If It’s Available at the time You Click, You Can Get Huge Permanent Discount.
Sharp Punters Precautionary Actions
As said, sports betting is the battle between bookmakers and punters. Therefore generally speaking bookies hate constant winners who will damage their bottom-line. They limit account of the sharp punters to prevent you from continuous winnings. However, there are excellent bookmakers that Welcome Professional due to the different business model they employ. They are called Sharp Bookies. So it’s essential for you to see the below list and open the accounts of such bookies represented by Pinnacle Pinnacle & Bookmaker EU.
I also provide the infamous bookies that quickly limit your account, called Soft Bookies. But it doesn’t mean they are bad bookies. In fact, they are top class bookmakers. The only problem is the account restriction. These bookies are usually very slow at adjusting odds, means the top rated tipsters will easily find many value bets. Therefore, the best approach is that you exploit those weakness and earn as much as possible until you’re restricted. Don’t worry, they just limit your account or close your account. They can’t confiscate your money and you can withdraw your winnings without any problems.
We summarized the list of Excellent & Infamous Bookies from the perspective of account restriction, so check the below lists;
Solution For Geographical Restriction
Allow me to stress that Pinnacle is a MUST bookmaker because they openly declare Welcome Winners. Go to;
Pinnacle Sports Exclusive Review – True Voices of Insiders However, there are many countries Pinnacle don’t accept. So what can we do? Consider to use Bet Broker, which allow you to access not only Pinnacle but also a few other Sharp Bookies. See the details in Honest Opinion About Bet Broker & How To Use Them Safely & Smartly;
How To Avoid Account Restriction
When it comes to the account restriction, for the value betting by tipsters, you don’t need many bookmakers unlike Arbitrage Betting or Matched Betting. So ultimately you can concentrate on only the bookies that does not care winners, after you’re banned from all the other nervous bookies. However yet it’s wise to take certain actions to prolong your account to maximize your earnings. Therefore, access to the below 2 information and take proper actions continuously;
- 22 Smart Tactics To Avoid Bookmakers’ Restriction & Solutions After Being;
- Sharbing – Another Technique To Avoid Bookies’ Account Restriction “Gubbed’;
Lastly, is living off sports betting your dream? You may want to read the report of How To Make A Living Sports Betting, where we make full examination on 3 advantage methods of sports betting. Although I never say you should go for it, but it’s worth your 10 minutes reading;